bit.ly
The college football world was wishing for a March Madness kind of feel for the first-ever 12-team College Football Playoff, with upsets galore. Instead, the four first-round matches underwhelmed, providing lots of time for vacation shopping. Favorites went an ideal 4-0 against the spread, including 3 fairly non-competitive performances by underdogs Indiana, SMU and Tennessee. Sportsbooks and the general public do not appear to believe so. A minimum of in two cases.
Both Penn State-Boise State and Texas-Arizona State feature double-digit spreads favoring the lower-seeded Nittany Lions and Longhorns. And the latter has actually been a specifically popular choice with the public. The Longhorns -12.5 is the most-bet side at BetMGM nationally in regards to overall dollars as of Monday afternoon.
bet9ja.com
"All the cash is can be found in on Texas," Seamus Magee, a BetMGM trader, wrote in a text message to The Athletic. "We need Arizona State to cover +13.5."
The enthusiasm for the Longhorns encompasses the futures market as well. Keep in mind that enormous $1.5 million wager on Texas to win it all at +390 chances? The ticket is still out there at .
Interestingly, the Longhorns' opponent, Arizona State - the biggest underdog among the College Football quarterfinal matches - is getting the most enjoy from sharp bettors. The Athletic talked to several bookmakers who had actually taken sharp action on No. 4 Arizona State - which had gotten as high as a 14-point underdog at some books versus No. 5 Texas - to press the line down to -12.5 or -12.
John Murray, the executive director at The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, told us he got a wager on Arizona State +13.5 from a "very highly regarded gamer."
Although reputable cash has actually can be found in on Arizona State to cover, sportsbooks will likely need the Sun Devils to do just that, as public gamblers are overdoing Texas.
"We would like to see ASU cover, and after that Texas win the game, so we get our Arizona State liability off the futures book," Magee added.
While the Texas video game will be substantial for the books, it isn't the only video game in town. We chatted with numerous bookmakers to break down where the sports betting action is on the other 3 College Football quarterfinal matches. 6 Penn State (-11, 53) at No. 3 Boise State
bet9ja.com
This video game opened Penn State -10.5 at most sportsbooks and has crept up somewhat to an agreement of -11. sports betting on the spread is fairly divided at the majority of sportsbooks. The total dollars wagered differs by book, as 52% of bets and 79% of the money at BetMGM nationally are on Boise State -11, while 56% of bets but just 42% of the cash at DraftKings is on Boise State -11.5. Penn State to cover is presently the second most popular CFP wager in terms of total tickets at BetMGM books.
bit.ly
"We opened Penn State -10.5 and are resting on Penn State -11," Thomas Gable, sportsbook director at The Borgata in Atlantic City, told The Athletic. "I wouldn't be surprised if this line sneaks up a bit more before kickoff, however I presently invite any Boise State money."
Ohio State got the Oregon 2nd possibility it desired. Are the Buckeyes all set for vengeance?
No. 8 Ohio State (-2.5, 55.5) vs. No. 1 Oregon
Perhaps most unexpected to the public is that No. 1 seed Oregon is an underdog versus No. 8 Ohio State. These teams satisfied back on Oct. 7 in Eugene, and Oregon won 32-31 as a 3.5-point home canine.
bit.ly
So why is OSU favored?
Several oddsmakers The Athletic consulted with before the CFP very first round had Ohio State atop their power ratings, and the lookahead lines for this theoretical match were Ohio State -1 or -1.5. One oddsmaker mentioned that Ohio State playing up to its power score in its dominant first-round win over Tennessee also formed his opening line.
bet9ja.com
Ohio State opened as a 1- or 1.5-point favorite (depending on the sportsbook) in this video game before respected money pressed it to the current line of -2.5. A somewhat greater majority of wagers at several sportsbooks, roughly 60%, are on the Ducks to cover, while close to 60% of the money has actually come in on the Buckeyes. This will likely be the highest-handle game of the 4 come kickoff.
"We did take some reputable cash at -1.5, quickly went to -2.5 where it's remained," Gable said. "It's good two-way action at that number today. The overall has actually gone up 3 points from 52.5 to 55.5, which has actually been the most significant move of any of the totals. Money has actually all been on the over up until now.
Joe Brennan, the CEO of Prime sports betting, a sportsbook in Ohio and New Jersey that deals with sharp bettors, told The Athletic that "Ohio State opened as a 1-point favorite, and instantly our Ohio wagerers believed we were too low. Our opening rate of Ohio State -1 has actually been increased to -2.5 and the total from 52 to 55."
He did note, though, that the book had seen significant buyback at the current line of Ohio State -2.5 and that 52% of the total dollars at his book were taking the points with the Ducks.
GO DEEPER
The most likely upsets for the College Football Playoff's second round
No. 7 Notre Dame vs. No. 2 Georgia (-1, 45)
The preferred flipped in this game, as Notre Dame opened a 1.5-point favorite and is currently a 1- or 1.5-point underdog at sportsbooks.
What triggered the line turn? Basically, the wagering action.
bet9ja.com
Even though Georgia's starting QB Carson Beck is out for the season and has actually been changed by relative unknown Gunner Stockton, bettors are gravitating towards the Bulldogs.
Georgia to cover is the most popular against the spread wager at BetMGM books nationally in regards to ticket count (second-most popular by total dollars bet), and it has been "one-way traffic on Georgia," according to Magee. Nearly 70% of bets are on the Bulldogs at numerous sportsbooks.
1
College Football Playoff Betting Action Report: 'All the Money is Coming in On Texas'
shawnackermann edited this page 2025-01-17 07:09:15 +00:00